Tuesday, August 26, 2025
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PolitiFact Pounces on Prediction by Trump

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PolitiFact is hyper-aggressive in “reality checking” Donald Trump, with eight “checks” over the past 30 days and 4 of them “Pants On Hearth” denunciations. On Friday, they slapped a “Principally False” on this presidential put up on Fact Social:

“Guarantees saved: unfavourable web migration (within the U.S.) for the primary time in 50 years!”

Even their headline advised they had been pouncing too early: “Trump’s claims of unfavourable web migration are untimely. Some analysts say it might occur.”

So why “reality verify” what “might occur”? They’re so aggressive they pounced on the phrase “saved.” Trump press aide Abigail Jackson stated they had been utilizing Harry Enten: 

The statements adopted an Aug. 3 section by CNN chief information analyst Harry Enten, who stated, “2025 web migration within the U.S. down at the very least 60% from final 12 months. The truth is, we could also be heading for the primary time in at the very least 50 years by which we’ve web unfavourable migration into the USA.”

Immigration “reporter” Maria Ramirez Uribe even admitted unfavourable web migration seems doubtless: 

Of the 5 teams that revealed 2025 web migration estimates, all agree that U.S. web migration will lower.

In July, the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative suppose tank, stated web migration will doubtless fall between a lack of 525,000 folks to a acquire of 115,000 folks. The report was co-authored by two economists from the nonpartisan Brookings Establishment.

“Although small constructive web flows are inside our projected vary and positively doable, we consider zero or web unfavourable migration for the 12 months is extra doubtless,” the group’s report stated.

Make certain to note that PolitiFact calls AEI “conservative” and Brookings “nonpartisan.” Cecilia Rouse, the present president of Brookings, has labored for 3 Democrat presidents — most not too long ago because the chair of Biden’s Council of Financial Advisers. 

Stan Veuger, a senior fellow on the institute [AEI] and one of many report’s authors, stated it could also be inconceivable to know with certainty whether or not there can be unfavourable web migration in 2025, notably “if the quantity is near zero, because it might be.” He stated it’s particularly tough to trace individuals who voluntarily depart the U.S.

If it is “inconceivable to know,” perhaps the “reality checkers” ought to discover one thing extra sound to assault. However their goal choice is aggressively punishing Republicans. 

You do not have to verify a “could also be.” However for those who verify the web page of immigration “reporter” Maria Ramirez Uribe, she’s tagged Crew Trump twelve occasions in 2025, and none of them are on the “True” facet. There’s one “Half True” for Kristi Noem, and the remaining are all “Principally False” or worse. Ramirez Uribe’s web page exhibits that she’s discovered no person on the left who has stated something “checkable” on immigration.

One “False” ranking on “Social Media” was nonetheless pushing again on the Bell County (Texas) Republican Social gathering arguing Invoice Clinton pushed deportations with out due course of.

That is why we are saying “PolitiFact (D-Fla.)”

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