Charlie Cook dinner: “Shut affiliation with Trump will not be a handicap in crimson states and districts, for now at the very least. It’s a profit, conserving the band collectively. However outdoors crimson America, it’s at greatest a robust headwind and in some instances, an anchor across the necks of GOP candidates. A technique to take a look at crimson and blue America is to consider the states which can be so crimson {that a} GOP candidate actually wants no help from independents, by no means thoughts Democrats, to win. The alternative can be the case in closely Democratic states and districts, the place a Democrat can win with no help amongst Republicans or independents.”
“Most states and congressional districts fall into a kind of camps. However there are seven states and several other dozen congressional districts that aren’t majority-Republican or -Democrat, the place a candidate wants not simply to carry his or her personal occasion collectively but in addition a considerable share of the particular independents there. As this column has famous earlier than, Trump is under no circumstances standard in purple America, with solely a couple of third of independents approving of the job he’s doing.”
